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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS ON VESICOVAGINAL FISTULA (VVF) CASES (A CASE STUDY OF MARYAM ABACHA WOMEN AND CHILDREN HOSPITAL, SOKOTO)
Ibrahim Abubakar Zarumi and Kabiru Malam Yakubu

ABSTRACT
The paper examined the cases of vesicovaginal Fistula (VVF) at Maryam Abacha Women and Children Hospital, Sokoto from 2004 to 2015. The study examines the possibility of using Box-Jenkins Approach to time series Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) in Modeling and forecasting the number of VVF cases. The Analysis was on the available data in Hospital?s Health Record Department. The results show that ARIMA ((4, 1, 1) is adequate for forecasting the number of VVF.


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The Beam journal of arts and science
ISSN: 1118-5953 www.uaspolysok.edu.ng/jounal